“We set up Variant Perception to solve our own investing needs. Most investment strategy and economic research we read was highly idiosyncratic and dependent on a guru or some strategist with a crystal ball. While they occasionally got some big calls right, they also missed…
This is the third post in a series where we share the best tools and principles that have helped us understand the business cycle. The third tool below…
The speed of the surge in real yields over the past month is now comparable to the Taper Tantrum (left chart), and when we decompose the yield surge, it…
This is the second post in a series where we share the best tools and principles that have helped us understand the business cycle. The second tool…
The below is an excerpt from one our recent reports, helping clients understand what a yield curve inversion means for their portfolios.‍ The yield…
As part of a series of blog posts, we plan to share the best tools and principles that have helped us understand the business cycle. The first tool…
US bank net interest margins were historically very correlated to the yield curve (e.g. 2s10s). However in recent years, the correlation has broken down…
With the Russia-Ukraine war continuing to rattle global equity markets, we revisit historical analogs of how markets typically behave around wars. The…
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Doomberg
Doomberg
Doomberg
Asian Century Stocks
Asian Century Stocks
Michael Fritzell
The Transcript
The Transcript
The Transcript
Sinocism
Sinocism
Bill Bishop

The Variant Perception Blog