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“We set up Variant Perception to solve our own investing needs. Most investment strategy and economic research we read was highly idiosyncratic and dependent on a guru or some strategist with a crystal ball. While they occasionally got some big calls right, they also missed…
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VP November 2022 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (40 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Nov 10th 2022. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFFi0HjYxQQ
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Our US Recession Signal has NOT fully triggered yet, but underlying recession risks are picking up as the bullwhip effect reversal plays out (see here…
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Our analytical framework involves 3 different time horizons: Tactical (1-3 months trading outlook) Cyclical (6-12 months liquidity/growth outlook…
VP Research
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What we got right and what we got wrong (3Q22)Listen now (18 min) | *Released to VP clients on 18th Oct. A quarterly discussion where the VP team reviews what we've got right and wrong in our…
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This is the final part of our series exploring our tactical 1-3 month investment framework: buy/sell signals. See Part 1 (key concepts) and Part 2…
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EM countries have hiked earlier and faster than DM countries, keeping a lid on domestic inflation and allowing a select few EM central banks to end…
VP Research
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VP September 2022 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (39 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Sep 8th 2022. https://youtu.be/ZxLB-oUFGgE
VP Research
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