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“We set up Variant Perception to solve our own investing needs. Most investment strategy and economic research we read was highly idiosyncratic and dependent on a guru or some strategist with a crystal ball. While they occasionally got some big calls right, they also missed…
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VP January 2023 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (40 min) | *Recorded on Jan 12th for VP Clients. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FzZv6lZM_0Q
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VP’s capital cycle, business cycle and tactical tools have helped time the key turns in US banks. The past 2.5 years have been a great demonstration of…
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We have seen a lot of narratives on liquidity driving the YTD rally. We think the consensus view of how to use and interpret liquidity in practice is…
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An old asset base + large infrastructure spending gap + negative real financing costs (financial repression) = an incoming capex supercycle. This is the…
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In case you missed it, our Head of Research Tian Yang was on Stephen Clapham’s Behind the Balance Sheet podcast this week. From Stephen: Variant…
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What we got right and what we got wrong (4Q22)Listen now (24 min) | *Released to VP clients on 27th Jan. A quarterly discussion where the VP team reviews what we've got right and wrong in our…
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We are exiting the age of abundance defined by cheap credit, cheap energy and cheap labor: profit and cash flow are sexy again. This is the 2nd part of…
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