“We set up Variant Perception to solve our own investing needs. Most investment strategy and economic research we read was highly idiosyncratic and dependent on a guru or some strategist with a crystal ball. While they occasionally got some big calls right, they also missed…
On a 6-month+ outlook, we stick with a risk-off asset allocation while cyclical LEIs are negative and our US Recession Signal remains active. We…
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VP December 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion Listen now (39 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Dec 8th 2022. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q1FhkcW3_hM
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In the coming decade governments will no longer hide behind the “invisible” hand of the market. They will be forced to make explicit choices on how…
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The below is an excerpt from our Nov 22nd report to VP clients. One of the interesting features of this year’s bear market has been the strong…
VP November 2022 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (40 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Nov 10th 2022. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFFi0HjYxQQ
Our US Recession Signal has NOT fully triggered yet, but underlying recession risks are picking up as the bullwhip effect reversal plays out (see here…
Our analytical framework involves 3 different time horizons: Tactical (1-3 months trading outlook) Cyclical (6-12 months liquidity/growth outlook…
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The Transcript
The Transcript
The Transcript
The Macro Compass
The Macro Compass
Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)
Doomberg
Doomberg
Doomberg
Voss Capital
Voss Capital
Voss Capital
Asian Century Stocks
Asian Century Stocks
Michael Fritzell

The Variant Perception Blog