In the coming decade governments will no longer hide behind the “invisible” hand of the market. They will be forced to make explicit choices on how society allocates resources. We think portfolios need to be positioned for structurally higher inflation.
over the last 35 years public spending in advanced economies has barely dipped below 40% of GDP so the effectively de-politicized economic policy is an overstatement. Same goes for regulatory burden that subtracts to economic growth and disincentive to invest when we all know that technology is a major driver to productivity and growth. the rest of the analysis is spot on, though it doesn't mention the financial repression (negative real yields) we have already seen and we will keep seeing over time (70s style, Japan style)
The Age of Scarcity Part 1: The inflationary impact of government spending
over the last 35 years public spending in advanced economies has barely dipped below 40% of GDP so the effectively de-politicized economic policy is an overstatement. Same goes for regulatory burden that subtracts to economic growth and disincentive to invest when we all know that technology is a major driver to productivity and growth. the rest of the analysis is spot on, though it doesn't mention the financial repression (negative real yields) we have already seen and we will keep seeing over time (70s style, Japan style)