The Variant Perception Blog
The Variant Perception Podcast
VP February 2024 Big Picture Discussion
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-36:20

VP February 2024 Big Picture Discussion

Recorded on February 8th, 2024.
Transcript

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US fiscal and labor hoarding have been key supports for US growth. Under-the-hood issues of tax receipts and job openings suggest an elevated dependence on deficit spending, creating inflation upside risk.

The AI investment spree has echoes of the fiber optic build-out. The productivity gains need to be weighed against an increasingly geopolitical world focused on security vs efficiency and where fiscal and monetary policy co-ordination is much more likely.

China structural risks appear to be a feature, not a bug, favoring proxy plays to benefit from upside risks.

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The Variant Perception Blog
The Variant Perception Podcast
We build predictive investment models by combining timeless axioms with innovative techniques. Operating at the intersection of market history and data science, we believe that man + machine beats man or machine alone.
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