The Variant Perception Blog

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Sitemap - 2026 - The Variant Perception Blog

Growth softer, tails wider - Sep. G3 Leading Indicator Watch

Politics Trumps Economics - Macro Snapshot (Sep 2)

Benign globally, messy locally - Aug. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

The VP Bank Quality Score - A Specialized Approach

Benign For Now

Still risk-on - Aug. Macro Snapshot

Into the Breach Once More - EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

What We Got Right and What We Got Wrong (2Q26)

Thoughts on Quantifying Equity Crowding + Not too hot, Not too cold (G3 LIW)

Keep vigilant and carry on - July Macro Snapshot

Post-Iran Stabilization - EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

US Small Caps— UW on peaking macro tailwinds

G3 Decoupling

What We Got Right and Wrong (4Q25) - Weekly Wrap

Where “push” and “pull” align - Jan. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

Optimism is consensus, but that’s ok for now

Echoes of 2016, 2003 and 1999: Signposts to watch

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