Archive - The Variant Perception Blog

Fed Hike Signals Transition to Late-Cycle Environment

US Growth: Steady Outlook

Oct 15

Hiking into weaker growth

Oct G3 Leading Indicator Watch

Oct 12

26:49

AI Bubble Watch

Equity breadth weakening, watching the Cisco/Sycamore/Juniper analogs

Oct 8

Lower Margin of Safety

Oct. Macro Snapshot

Oct 6

38:41

September 2026

Housing Headwinds to Restrain Hawkish Pricing

Sep. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

Sep 27

27:44

Growth softer, tails wider - Sep. G3 Leading Indicator Watch

Weekly Wrap - 11 September 2026

Sep 14

Politics Trumps Economics - Macro Snapshot (Sep 2)

VP Weekly Wrap - 4th September 2026

Sep 6

August 2026

Benign globally, messy locally - Aug. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

Weekly Wrap - 28 August 2026

Aug 31

The VP Bank Quality Score - A Specialized Approach

VP Weekly Wrap - 21 August 2026

Aug 23

VP Weekly Wrap - 16 August 2026

Aug 16

Still risk-on - Aug. Macro Snapshot

Weekly Wrap - 7 August 2026

Aug 9

Into the Breach Once More - EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

Weekly Wrap - 31 July 2026

Aug 2

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