VP January 2023 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (40 min) | *Recorded on Jan 12th for VP Clients. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FzZv6lZM_0Q

March 2023

VP’s capital cycle, business cycle and tactical tools have helped time the key turns in US banks. The past 2.5 years have been a great demonstration of…
We have seen a lot of narratives on liquidity driving the YTD rally. We think the consensus view of how to use and interpret liquidity in practice is…

February 2023

An old asset base + large infrastructure spending gap + negative real financing costs (financial repression) = an incoming capex supercycle. This is the…
In case you missed it, our Head of Research Tian Yang was on Stephen Clapham’s Behind the Balance Sheet podcast this week. From Stephen: Variant…
What we got right and what we got wrong (4Q22)Listen now (24 min) | *Released to VP clients on 27th Jan. A quarterly discussion where the VP team reviews what we've got right and wrong in our…
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We are exiting the age of abundance defined by cheap credit, cheap energy and cheap labor: profit and cash flow are sexy again. This is the 2nd part of…

January 2023

On a 6-month+ outlook, we stick with a risk-off asset allocation while cyclical LEIs are negative and our US Recession Signal remains active. We…
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VP December 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion Listen now (39 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Dec 8th 2022. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q1FhkcW3_hM
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In the coming decade governments will no longer hide behind the “invisible” hand of the market. They will be forced to make explicit choices on how…
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December 2022

The below is an excerpt from our Nov 22nd report to VP clients. One of the interesting features of this year’s bear market has been the strong…

November 2022

VP November 2022 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (40 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Nov 10th 2022. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFFi0HjYxQQ