VP November 2022 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (40 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Nov 10th 2022. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFFi0HjYxQQ
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Our US Recession Signal has NOT fully triggered yet, but underlying recession risks are picking up as the bullwhip effect reversal plays out (see here…
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Our analytical framework involves 3 different time horizons: Tactical (1-3 months trading outlook) Cyclical (6-12 months liquidity/growth outlook…
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What we got right and what we got wrong (3Q22)Listen now (18 min) | *Released to VP clients on 18th Oct. A quarterly discussion where the VP team reviews what we've got right and wrong in our…
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This is the final part of our series exploring our tactical 1-3 month investment framework: buy/sell signals. See Part 1 (key concepts) and Part 2…
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EM countries have hiked earlier and faster than DM countries, keeping a lid on domestic inflation and allowing a select few EM central banks to end…
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VP September 2022 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (39 min) | *Recorded and released to VP clients on Sep 8th 2022. https://youtu.be/ZxLB-oUFGgE
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This is the second post of our 3-part series exploring our tactical 1-3 month investment framework where we build an asset’s tactical outlook based on…
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The downside growth risks from the bullwhip effect reversal and extreme lows in liquidity indicators favor risk-off positioning. We advised clients to…
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“Market timing, by the way, is a tag some buy-and-hold investors use to put down anything that involves using your brain.” – Jeremy Grantham. In a…
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VP August 2022 Market Outlook & DiscussionListen now (31 min) | *Recorded on 12th August 2022 https://youtu.be/x-lSHn-zZao
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The commodity supercycle intermission is ongoing, but the structural thesis remains in tact (see our original thesis from Oct 2020 here). We have been…
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