Sitemap - 2022 - The Variant Perception Blog

Volatility forest fires yet to burn

VP November 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion

The US consumer won't stop the reversal of the bullwhip effect

Sticking to fixed income duration overweights

What we got right and what we got wrong (3Q22)

VP Tactical Cookbook part 3: buy/sell signals

Be selective as EM hiking cycles end

VP September 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion

VP Tactical Cookbook part 2: Trend, Sentiment, Analog

The credit cycle is deteriorating quickly

VP Tactical Cookbook part 1: the key concepts

VP August 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion

Trading the commodity supercycle intermission

Tian Yang on the Forward Guidance podcast

Bullwhip effect reversal is the major downside growth risk

VP July 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion

Work with us at VP!

Extreme lows in liquidity indicators

Tian Yang on Real Vision

What we got right and what we got wrong (2Q22)

Principles that have helped us the most

VP June 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion

The great BoJ divergence

Not enough signs of a major market bottom

Tools that have helped us the most #4

VP May 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion

Oligopolies: inflationary winners

Tian Yang on The MacroVoices Podcast

Tian Yang on The Grant Williams Podcast

Understanding Volatility: back with a vengeance

Tools that have helped us the most #3

VP April 2022 Market Outlook & Discussion

The "bad" kind of rate rise

Tools that have helped us the most #2

1Q22 What we got right and what we got wrong

Yield curve inversion: not an actionable investment signal

Tools that have helped us the most #1

Rate impact on banks

Markets vs wars

Inflation panic overdone

The Fed is playing with fire

Revisiting the anatomy of a bubble

4Q21 What we got right and what we got wrong

Global savings glut: structural headwinds for yields

Lessons from whaling history for oil today